Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.888106 2.182127 2.505359 2.886872 3.324700 3.811280 4.392943
2025-03-30 1.527584 1.923330 2.395140 2.998356 3.748455 4.649934 5.815218
2025-04-06 1.234505 1.675875 2.240845 3.015415 4.048232 5.376525 7.213431
2025-04-13 0.962939 1.399628 1.995739 2.866153 4.101909 5.790599 8.270951
2025-04-20 0.833780 1.288575 1.946232 2.962136 4.487315 6.686792 10.094401
2025-04-27 0.746600 1.220215 1.941945 3.115276 4.968105 7.773013 12.332278
2025-05-04 0.657929 1.132660 1.892129 3.186599 5.328287 8.718595 14.477715
2025-05-11 0.578453 1.045416 1.827119 3.219457 5.624995 9.593824 16.616033
2025-05-18 0.492987 0.933137 1.702412 3.131048 5.702509 10.114030 18.224985
2025-05-25 0.413171 0.817375 1.553448 2.975827 5.637522 10.375837 19.409581
2025-06-01 0.366902 0.756329 1.493111 2.970362 5.836113 11.115056 21.522336
2025-06-08 0.320990 0.688488 1.409848 2.908414 5.917764 11.645704 23.305787
2025-06-15 0.304166 0.678230 1.439344 3.076142 6.475498 13.154724 27.180245
2025-06-22 0.282197 0.653737 1.436866 3.179097 6.918459 14.497387 30.901659
2025-06-29 0.254406 0.612014 1.392478 3.187751 7.167630 15.483492 34.025133
2025-07-06 0.216895 0.542002 1.276828 3.024823 7.027671 15.650482 35.455680
2025-07-13 0.203056 0.525384 1.277618 3.122649 7.474356 17.112064 39.852722
2025-07-20 0.194416 0.520018 1.303427 3.281761 8.080714 18.992098 45.403854
2025-07-27 0.181247 0.501046 1.294121 3.355504 8.496610 20.493241 50.272047
2025-08-03 0.167200 0.477450 1.270031 3.389277 8.820249 21.818864 54.887670
2025-08-10 0.148377 0.437813 1.199714 3.295875 8.816546 22.370894 57.714497
2025-08-17 0.128739 0.392488 1.107805 3.132442 8.611464 22.407790 59.271938
2025-08-24 0.118040 0.371012 1.076448 3.126540 8.816153 23.482566 63.568914